October 10th, 2007

NCAA Saturday Game of the Week: (17) Kentucky at (1) LSU

It seems like every week the game of the week features a SEC team or two.  As you can see this week is no different, as this league continues to feature the best talent in the country.  With LSU now being the overwhelming number one team in the country with the ungraceful fall of USC, the Tigers now have a chance to solidify themselves even more as the team to beat.

The Kentucky Wildcats (5-1, 1-1 SEC) are coming off their first loss of the season due to turnovers against the South Carolina Gamecocks, also a very tough SEC team.  Before the defeat, Wildcats quarterback Andre’ Woodson was a dark horse candidate for the Heisman Trophy.  Woodson has thrown for 18 touchdowns on just two interceptions.  He has also completed over 65 percent of his pass attempts.  There running backs, Rafael Little and Tony Dixon are both averaging well over six yards a carry and have scored three times apiece.  As a team they are averaging 42.7 points a game. 

LSU was able to pull out a late victory against the Florida Gators, giving them redemption for their loss to them last year.  With the Gators now losing twice in a row it seems that their will be a new champion this year, and the Tigers wouldn’t mind filling that role.  The 24 points LSU gave up this past week was the first time this year they had allowed more than 16 points in a game.  Jacob Hester has been a large chunk of the offense, running for 433 yards this year, five yards a carry, and scoring five rushing touchdowns. Hester’s back-up, Keiland Williams would most likely be starting on any other team in the nation.  He to has scored five touchdowns, and is averaging seven yards per carry.  He is a great change of pace back when the team is looking for a momentum burst.  Demetrius Byrd has also been a blessing on special teams, returning two kicks all the way to the house.  Matt Flynn and Ryan Perrilloux have both shared time behind center, combining for ten touchdowns and four interceptions.  As of late Ryan Perrilloux has been getting most of the snaps. 

If Kentucky is back to normal and LSU is a step slower on defense as they appeared last Saturday this could be a ball game.  However, Kentucky also doesn’t appear to have the firepower the Gators have, so the chore of defending them will probably be easier.  I expect LSU to rebound well in this one and win this one by ten or more points in a high scoring affair.  Something like 34-24. 

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October 9th, 2007

NCAA Thursday Night Football: (21) Florida State at Wake Forest

Ask anyone who is an avid watching of college football and they will tell you that predicting the outcome of games this year is nearly impossible.  Take for example, last week USC lost to 41-point underdog Stanford, at home.  And, that is just the tip of the iceberg.  Another game that is almost too close to call kicks off the college football week.  It pits the 21st ranked Florida State Seminoles (4-1, 1-1 ACC) against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-2, 2-1 ACC).

After playing both Boston College and Nebraska tough, but ended up on the wrong side of the game, the Demon Deacons have responded with three straight wins.  Those wins have come up against improved, but not elite football schools in Army, Maryland, and Duke.  Every game Wake Forest has played in has been close.  For the season they are averaging 27.6 points per game and giving up 25.6, showing you how tight their match ups have been.  In their last outing they out lasted Duke by the score of 41-36, in Durham, home of the Blue Devils.  While the Dukies are only 1-5 this year, they have also played all their opponents tough, but obviously have fallen short a few more times then their opponents.  The Demon Deacons rely on a steady offensive approach, which likes to share the ball.  No one player has outstanding numbers this year, but a bunch have respectable numbers.  Quarterback Riley Skinner has only thrown two touchdowns this year, but also doesn’t make very many mistakes.  Running backs Kenneth Moore and Josh Adams have both ran for about 250 yards each and have combined for five scores.

After losing to Clemson, in Clemson opening night, the Seminoles are on a four game winning streak.  Last week was one of their better all around performances, beating NC State 27-10.  Since giving up 24 points in each of their first two games they have only allowed 28 in the next three.  Receiver Greg Carr has led the offense, catching 17 balls for 400 yards and two trips to the end zone.  Florida State has used two quarterbacks this year, Drew Weatherford and Xavier Lee.  Lee started last week’s game against NC State, and looks like he may keep the job.  On the year he’s thrown for 431 yards on three touchdowns and one interception.  He is also a threat on the ground, running for a score.

With the way this season is going you might be better off flipping a coin.  Just kidding, I think.  I think Florida State has enough on the defensive side of the field to put a halt to Wake Forest’s offense.  It’s good for the Deacons that they have home field advantage, but that hasn’t proven to be a huge advantage this year.  Ask the Trojans.  I like Florida State in this one 24 to 13.

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October 8th, 2007

24th Breeders’ Cup, October 26th and October 27th

 

For the first time in Breeders’ Cup history the event will take place over two days, instead of just one.  The Breeders’ Cup will be hosted by Monmouth Park in Oceanport, New Jersey.  The Breeders’ Cup is also unique because it doesn’t just limit the field of the races to the best three year old horses, but to the best three year old horses, and older.  Some horses don’t peak until past their third year, so the Breeders’ Cup traditionally has some of the best fields in horse racing history, even better than those in the Triple Crown. 

The Breeder’s Cup was thought of by John R. Gaines, one of the leading horse owners and breeders in the 1980’s.  His thought was for it to be sort of a year end championship, to match the championships held at the end of the seasons of other sports.  For the first 23 years of the event, starting in 1982, there will be 11 races instead of just eight.  With each race having a purse of between one and five million dollars, it is generally believed that the 2007 Breeders’ Cup will be the richest day in sports history. 

The formal works much the same way standings in other sports work, or even the current NASCAR format for determining a champion.  Horses are given points based on graded races throughout the year, and from that it is determined if they had done enough to earn a spot in the Breeders’ Cup Championships.  Also, there are currently Breeders’ Cup qualifying races taking place to decide some more of the horses that will take place in one the million dollar payday races.

The action will be televised on ESPN over a two-day period.  On Friday, October 26th, starting at 4:00 P.M the first three races will be held.  Starting on noon the next day, ESPN will televise all eight of the events, right up to the Breeders’ Cup Classic, the five million dollar main event race.

The Monmouth Park racetrack opened on July 30th, 1870 by a group of men who hoped to make racing prominent in New Jersey.  After suffering through financial difficulties early in existence, it began hosting the Haskell Invitational, the richest thoroughbred race in America.

Racing is currently enjoying a rise in popularity, and if you are just beginning to get into the sport then this is the event to watch.  It features not only the best racehorses in America, but the best horses from horse races all over the world.  Sometimes it’s hard to remember, but horses have been some of the best athletes in the history of sports.  Enjoy the races!

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October 4th, 2007

Monday Night Football: Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills

It’s easy to insert min-90’s Super Bowl Jokes here, regarding the Bills inability to win the Super Bowl, and the Cowboys ability to roll over them during those years. I’ll save those for you guys. This year though, the Cowboys seem to be the far superior team, yet again, with the only advantage the Bills having this one is that they are playing in Buffalo. Buffalo will enter the game on a good note, earning their first victory of the year over a beat up Jets team, 17-14. On a side note, their 1-3 record is good enough for second place in the AFC East league that is being dominated by the Patriots. The Bills seem to have a solid core of offensive players, but they are all fairly inexperienced. It’s unclear which quarterback will start, but rookie Trent Edwards may get the nod after leading the Bills to the teams’ first victory of the season. Edwards went 22-for-28 for 234 yards passing with a touchdown. The Bills will also rely on a steady does of rookie running back Marshawn Lynch has been steady averaging around 80 yards a game, and has scored three touchdowns.

The Cowboys on the other hand have looked one of the best teams in the NFL, and clearly one of the best in the NFC. Many of that thanks can go to early season MVP candidate Tono Romo. Romo has shown that last year isn’t a fluke, throwing for three touchdowns, and running for another in this past Sunday’s victory over the Rams. For the season he has thrown for 11 touchdowns and thrown just three interceptions. While Terrell Owens was quiet against the Rams on Sunday, he has been productive, scoring three times on 19 catches, so far. The Cowboys also use something resembling a running back by committee approaching, but as of late Marion Barber III has been making his plea to be the starter. He is averaging over six yards a carry, and is showing he is one of the hardest backs in the league to bring down.

With the number of weapons the Cowboys have to offer I can’t see them not leaving Buffalo with a zero in their loss column. The NFL season has been interesting to this point in the season, and you can’t count anybody else. The Cowboys defense, there one concern, has played better as of late, and could have a field day on the rookie quarterback Edwards. I like the Cowboys to win this one going away, but the score of something like 35-14.

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October 3rd, 2007

NCAA Game of the Week (9) Florida vs. (1) LSU

 Up until this past Saturday this looked like it could have been a battle between top five teams.  But, Auburn had to go ruin the party, and beat Florida, for the second year and a row, and drop Florida back to ninth in the country.  What should also be remembered though is that the defeat to Auburn was their only loss en route to winning the national championship.  Despite the Florida loss, this is still the game of the week and the biggest game in the SEC so far.  The biggest and baddest team in all of college football this year has been the LSU Tigers (5-0, 2-0 SEC).  After starting slow against Tulane, LSU would step up and finish the game with a 34-9 victory.  The nine points they gave up actually raised their defensive average to a miniscule 6.4 points per game.  Also, for most teams when you see a quarterback by committee approach you assume they are having a problem at the position.  This is not true with the Tigers.  When Matt Flynn is in he is passing for three touchdowns.  When Ryan Perilloux is in he is passing for six touchdowns and averaging over five yards per carry when he decides to run.  They can also run the ball with a steady efficiency.  Jacob Hester and Keiland Williams both have four touchdowns this year, with Williams averaging 7.5 yards per carry.  To put their rushing game in perspective, they have six players with over 100 yards rushing already.  Talk about sharing the ball.

You can’t sleep on the Florida either though.  As mentioned, when they lost last year, it appeared it woke up a sleeping giant, or in this case, Gator.   This is an offense that is averaging over 42 points per game, and has a respectable defense, allowing only 19.6 points per game.  Their offense relies on their Heisman contending quarterback, Tim Tebow.  Tebow does it on the air and on the ground.  Thru the air he has passed for 11 touchdowns and when he takes the low road he has found the end zone eight times.  His main receiving targets, Percy Harvin and Cornelius Ingram have both scored three times on passes from Tebow. 

Florida has surprised us before, and with this football season it wouldn’t be a shock to see an upset again.  But, logical thinking suggests that the home field advantage and the lock down defense of LSU will be too much for the Gators.

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October 2nd, 2007

NCAA Thursday Game of the Week : Southern Mississippi vs. Boise State

On paper the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles- Boise State Broncos game looks like a fairly even match-up. In reality, bookies have enlisted Boise State as a 10-point favorite. Both teams are 2-1 this season and offensively have scored almost the same amount of points (90 for Boise State, 82 for the Golden Eagles). On the defensive side the Broncos looks to have their biggest advantage, giving up only 45 points this season while the Golden Eagles have given up 45. But, if you take a look at all of the major statistics, which include total yards, passing yards, rushing yards, and points scored, you will see that both teams are right around the same mark. Boise State is slightly ahead in all of these categories, but not by enough to warrant thoughts of a blow out. So, why are the Broncos 10 point favorites?

For starters, this game it as home on the blue turf of the Broncos. Boise State has been virtually unbeatable on their home turf, winning 53 of 55 of their last games held at Bronco Stadium. You can also argue that the Broncos have looked better against relative opponents, despite both teams sporting the same record. The Broncos lone loss came 24-10 to the Washington Huskies, in Washington State. The Golden Eagles loss came to Tennessee, in Tennessee 39-19. While it’s always tough to play in Tennessee, the Volunteers have slipped a bit this year, so maybe the bookies are also considering the play of the Golden Eagles in this game. Also, last week Southern Mississippi struggled at East Carolina, winning 28-21, while Boise State beat an underrated Wyoming team 24-14 at home.

Early in the season Boise State fans were concerned with the slow start of running back Ian Johnson, but lately his game has improved. For the year he is now average 4.7 yards per carry and had three touchdowns. Bronco quarterback Taylor Tharp has also appeared to pick up the slack completing 60.4 percent of his passes with 3 TD’s and 3 interceptions. The Golden Eagles also have some offensive weapons as well in QB Jeremy Young and wide receiver Chris Johnson, but I think the home field advantage will just be what takes it for Boise State. My guess (and I emphasize guess) is the Broncos will win by just about the predicted 10 point spread.

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